As predictions have come true at Sotheby's
ARTinvestment.RU   15 июня 2007

The market feels safe, and without the buzz of seasonal prices become more predictable

Not too long ago D published price forecasts for auction Sotheby's 12 June 2007, the ¹ . And once done with them quite well. The market feels safe, and without the buzz of seasonal prices become more predictable. Here are some of the best examples of commercial «Preparation».

Still Life «Amphoras in a platter on a support» brush Dmitry Krasnopevtseva experts evaluated in the 60-80 thousand pounds, D predicted 110 thousand pounds, and the facts were 108 thousand pounds. At about the same with a «naked» Vladimir Вейсберга.

Estimeyt - 80-120 thousand pounds projection D - 120 thousand pounds, the actual result - 108 thousand pounds. Close.

Oleg Tselkov, «Five masks». Experts auction house D rightly considered conservative. 60-80 thousand pounds for a bright canvas dvuhmetrovy Sixties, of which are in the main exhibition Tretyakov? D suggested that reaches 140 thousand pounds, but in reality turned out 132 thousand pounds.

And lastly, the final example - an abstract composition Yevgenia Rukhin 1971. Estimeyt - 25-35 thousand pounds, the forecast D - 70 thousand pounds, in fact, work has been sold for 66 thousand pounds. More than 130 thousand dollars - is now an established range for the work Rukhin. True, the exact composition is extraordinary: embedded objects, «thick» collage, the inclusion of bright contrasting colors - everything that is especially valued in the original abstract of this artist.

The above acquisitions - examples of purchases at fair prices. Or, more accurately, fairly high. In other words, sell them on the second day of bo'lshie or the same amount of money will not be easy. The queue does not build. That is, in the case of a purchase for investment success will need to wait for some time.

Here is a frankly favorable purchases on the list «haylaytov» D can be allocated at least one. Meter track «player» Vladimir Nemukhin D in May called seriously undervalued. Then we observed and good size, and brand theme, an interesting and unusual momentum transferred through the movement of hands over the table. Then it was already obvious that the statement by the expert estimeyt the upper house of 35 thousand pounds for such work is unreasonably low - unless the goal podraznit potential buyers. Forecast D reasonable price for this thing was 90 thousand pounds. As facts were 57.6 thousand pounds, which can only congratulate the new owner.

strings in the art of the first half of the twentieth century, our price forecast for «haylaytov» were significantly less accurate. Surprisingly, selling out «utknuvshiysya plane» Natalia Goncharova - painting «Blossoming trees» 1911. Year valuable period, recognizable style, but the decorative part is nothing outstanding there. Our forecast was «not sold» by reason of excessive estimeyta - 500-700 thousand pounds. But no, sold for 580 thousand pounds, more than a million dollars. However, D was still believes that this acquisition is hard to mention profitable.

«St Barbara» Mikhail Nesterov, we can not boast. Doubts raised a feeling of incompleteness and poor decorative component. But the name and distinctive story offers hope for a price within estimeyta - 280 thousand pounds. Oops, the thing has remained unsold.

D called unjustifiably high cost and expertise to landscape «Trees» 1919 brush Peter Konchalovsky. Not 400-600 thousand pounds, and at best 350 or «not sold». And so it turned out: not sold.

Here is the tiny figure of Paul Filonov, rare by definition and, without doubt, a genuine, sold for 90 thousand pounds. D suggest that there will be 100 thousand pounds, but it is not 50-70 thousand pounds, as stated in estimeyte.

The most expensive of the bids, surprisingly, was neoprimitivistsky «Still Life with Jug and Icon» 1910-1912 biennium. Mikhail Larionov. 1.3-meter-long canvas sold approximately 4.5 million dollars. According to D, the specific work on the quality of so-so. Even the very so-so. And the money, however, very significant. Investment in the logic of buying a D does not see as well, and finds no other rational explanation. There are facts on which it is better not to build logic ...

Here is the opposite example. Artwork of Boris Kustodiev «Picnic» 1920 - large decorative canvas recognized miriskusnika - gathered cashier in 2.5 million dollars. And like the Soviet power is already in the yard, and unusual theme: No fair colors, and pyshuschih health bills of sale ... Nevertheless, in the environment experienced collectors felt that the sale was one of the best works of Boris Kustodiev. And 1.25 million pounds for the canvas - the price is rather surprisingly low.

What is the global findings of the June auction Sotheby's did not have. Auction soon called pass, intermediate. Is that the Sixties put in another portion of the asset auction statistics, and the overall price level for the post-war art has risen by another polstupenki. Neither the «rounds», no sensationalism, no breakthroughs. Or maybe no better sensation than «surprises», such Somova at Christie's?

Source: www.sothebys.com

¹ See: V. Bogdanov art market in anticipation of the summer //Direktor-Info. 2007. 10. S. 40 - 48.