Do changes in the government in our art market?
ARTinvestment.RU   18 августа 2016

The resignation of influential people, changes of political groups in previous years has significantly affected the Russian art market. Universal phase perezhidaniya took about a year. Changed hierarchy, collapsing communications, buying art for a long time was postponed

the resignation of the head of the presidential Administration Sergei Ivanov (the most likely successor in 2007) — is the most recent, because the most resonant, but not the first rearrangement in the upper echelons of power. Prior to this, remember, was the resignation "of the railway" Vladimir Yakunin, Viktor Ivanov of the Federal drug control service, "customs officer" Andrei Belyaninov and others. And this is only the accomplished facts, while observers note the increased probability of more serious resignations.

In previous years, say 5-7 years ago, so noticeable changes in the President's entourage would have a significant impact on the business. Including in the sphere of trade in art. Let the effect is not so strong as when rearrangements in the Moscow government, but nonetheless.

previously, it was relatively so. Retires or he gets a high official (conditionally Luzhkov). Only then, in a shake-up of his team — series of shift positions. For three months, at least, there comes the confusion: even the third — fourth grade leaders may not feel confident in their chairs. Changing hierarchies violates the established internal communication between officials and communications between officials and business. All the wait. And it is not clear, to whom now to go with gifts: the former is meaningless, to new yet. And who else are these new? About gifts (and works of art are often bought as a gift) you can forget for half a year — year. And, therefore, increases the risk of not receiving important public at the Antique shop (as it was after the resignation of Luzhkov), and also as buyers on the gallery and auction the art market.

Is an example of a direct effect of permutations. But there is also indirect. Remember the footage of the RAID on the apartment of supernumerary case "Oboronservis" Evgenia Vasilyeva residence "customs" Andrei Belyaninov. That was evident except for specific luxury home? Right — paintings, Antiques. Let's not talk about the quality of the painting is a separate issue. But in the minds of the layman Antiques inevitably perceived as an attribute of a corrupt official, a symbol of conspicuous consumption and evidence of acquired dishonestly. In painting and in prices we understand not many, but because on the walls the viewers to see the masterpieces worth millions of dollars. Often not, but it is also a different story.

Returning to the effect of permutations on the art-рынок.

In earlier times, the influence was undeniable.

But not this time.

And our own auction experience, and surveys of suppliers and buyers suggests that the art market (and art) reshuffle, hardly noticed. It affects everything, until the weather. But not only personnel changes at the top. Explanations for the lack of the "Ivanov effect" you can find a few:

1. Almost all the negative factors of politics for the art market almost completely played out. That is the business of politicians, down to a minimum. There is a feeling that will not be worse, that there would be further already.

2. Reshuffle affecting when they give important new information about the future course of development. Depending on where we are, the business gains optimism or pessimism. In 1990-е the economy was far worse. But there were bright expectations: today is all bad, mess, Communists against Democrats, but tomorrow I will get through this and know where to go. At this time, the permutations give almost no information about the future. The fact that Putin in place of the old-timers results in the generation of 45 , —, it is a tactic. And strategy, especially in the economic sphere, from us at-прежнему kept secret.

3. Business got tired of waiting, adapted, resigned. Buyers and sellers over the past two years took as a given situation is and will be such as it is, clear the lumen is not visible — so, we need to continue to work in new and challenging conditions. It is impossible for the third consecutive year to sit and do nothing. To wait and watch where the wind blows, there is no longer neither the strength nor the resources. We have to work. So, to pick up signals from the reshuffle at the top also becomes interesting.

And when it becomes interesting?

become Interesting when following significant resignations and appointments will begin real improvement in business-климата, improving institutions. Art-рынок in our country — is not the engine of the economy. Unlike Britain, where culture — is the export industry, we have it by itself one can not pull. If you imagine that we woke up the next morning, and we have liberalised the import and export, examination and evaluation are done by national standards and sellers in disputed cases ceased to judge and to plant, then instantly blossoming art-рынка still not going to happen. The art market is good only in conjunction with all when it gets well all other sectors of the economy.

Art-рынок blooms, normally when you start earning it buyers — people from the financial sector, medicine, real estate, higher education. And not just to earn one day and feel ahead of a good prospect. Such a signal no one will miss.

Sources: kommersant.ru, mk.ru, artinvestment.ru, artinvestment.ru



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Индексы арт-рынка ARTIMX
Индекс
Дата
Знач.
Изм.
ARTIMX
13/07
1502.83
+4,31%
ARTIMX-RUS
13/07
1502.83
+4,31%
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